Leafs Can’t Get Much Worse

January 12th, 2010 by Steve

There’s some good news coming for Leafs fans.  They’re soon going to see less of the likes of Garnet Exelby and Jeff Finger on the blue line.  They might actually see some more scoring up front amongst their forwards.  They might even see some wins in the near future.

All of this is likely to come to pass when Carl Gunnarsson and Mike Komisarek return from injury, and hopefully not far in the future when Mikhail Grabovski rejoins the team.  Tyler Bozak looked like a solid producer on the top line with Kessel and Kulemin, and despite what Bill Watters thinks of his size problems (which I too have some concerns about), he was actually quite decent in his own end, and he set Kessel up with some gift wrapped offensive opportunities against the Hurricanes.

So let’s see, the Leafs will replace Finger and Exelby with Gunnarsson and Komisarek, thus reducing the minute load on Luke Schenn, Tomas Kaberle, Ian White, and Francois Beauchemin in the process.  That should help the squad out a tad defensively.  It might not cure all their problems, but it certainly won’t hurt to have another competent puck handler on the back end, and a shut down D man with size that blocks a lot of shots.

When Grabovski gets back, I suggest that Wilson does some line juggling for the foreseeable future.  I envision the Leafs forward units being restructured as follows:

L1: Kessel, Bozak, Kulemin

L2: Ponikarovsky, Stajan, Stålberg

L3: Stempniak, Grabovski, Blake

L4: Hagman, Wallin, Orr

Jamal Mayers and John Mitchell haven’t served much of a purpose with the club this season (in my opinion).  Longer term though, I imagine Brian Burke envisions dealing away Stempniak, Stajan, and perhaps Ponikarovsky or Hagman, so I wouldn’t be shocked to see Mayers and Mitchell regain their spots in the line up, as well as the call up of possibly Rosehill or Hanson.

Thus after the trading deadline, the lines might look like this:

L1: Kessel, Bozak, Kulemin

L2: Hagman, Grabovski, Stålberg

L3: Hanson, Mitchell, Blake

L4: Mayers, Wallin, Orr

Those lines are unlikely to scare any NHL franchises offensively right now, but if they improve over time, it isn’t the end of the world.  Considering some of the success Grabovski and Kulemin have had with Hagman, and the fact that Bozak and Stålberg have clicked together in the past, the top two lines might need to be rearranged.

Defensive pairings might be in question also since Schenn has played with Kaberle recently, so I expect things to shift to something like this:

D1: Komisarek, Kaberle

D2: White, Beauchemin

D3: Gunnarsson, Schenn

Realistically that would be the top 3 pairings the Leafs have been able to ice all season long.  If they play well as a group, they may actually see some consistency in the last half of the year.  Staying healthy will be an issue though, as the team doesn’t have any depth in the forward ranks if Stajan, Ponikarovsky, and Stempniak are dealt.

Let’s see how things shake out, but try not to lose ALL hope at this point Leaf fans… it really can’t get much worse than it is right now.  We have virtually the worst PK team in NHL history, and our goaltending is palpably softer than it’s been since the days of Peter Ing.  Not to blast on Gustavsson’s efforts recently, but he’s looked far more human in recent games than he did earlier on in the season.  I’m beginning to wonder if the tight schedule is wearing him out.  Hopefully the Olympic Break is one where he gets to decompress a bit and polish his game alongside his Swedish countryman Hendrik Lundqvist.

Posted in Player Analysis, Prospects
  1. 11 Responses to “Leafs Can’t Get Much Worse”

  2. By Casey CANADA on Jan 13, 2010

    Sigh…

  3. By Tom Cat on Jan 13, 2010

    Worse is a Bruins jersey with “Hall” on the back.

  4. By BCapp CANADA on Jan 13, 2010

    When you mention Grabovski coming back, you forget Primeau coming back. I have been very happy with his play as a 3rd/4th line center.

    As well the first team you suggested probably basically won’t happen (for very long) a la Grabs, b/c he is expected back around the olympics, which means he’ll come back like a week before the deadline.

    I also would probably play Grabs w/ Blake b/c they seem to have some solid chemistry.

  5. By glgbill UNITED STATES on Jan 13, 2010

    It’s really disappointing to see how badly management misjudged the talent on this team. No one should have ever used the word “playoffs.”

  6. By BCapp CANADA on Jan 13, 2010

    To be fair glgbill, I really think the lack of ‘PLAYOFFS!!!1′ is due to simply ONE bad prediction/misjudgment and thats goaltending.

    If Toskala played to the form of his first year with the Leafs, we could be a legitimate playoff threat. Its too late for that now, but I think the Leaf Management believed that would be the case after his surgery and treatment.

    Unfortunately that didn’t happen and he has a .8 something which is just ridiculous. Our offense is fine (in quite the slump now), but good enough to make the playoffs.

    We have the worst GAA (or is that Carolina?) in the league, which would not be the case if we had par goaltending, which I think was the prediction for a treated/healthy Toskala being backed up by Gustavson (who is giving us roughly par goaltending).

  7. By Marco CANADA on Jan 13, 2010

    Kessel…great young player….wrong time.

  8. By Will CANADA on Jan 13, 2010

    Anything short of a 10 game win streak won’t put us back into contention. The good news is that we are all Leaf fans, and as we all know there is always next year! We need to start preparing Yonge St for a parade in May 2011!

  9. By Steve CANADA on Jan 13, 2010

    Let’s all be honest and realistic here. The Leafs were out of the playoffs after their atrocious opening portion of the season. They aren’t going to win 10 games in a row, and even if they did, that won’t get them into the playoffs.

    This team is now working towards the future, and offloading pending free agents for draft picks, as well as developing some semblance of constructive improvement is the order of the day.

    I sincerely doubt it makes much difference to Brian Burke if the team wins 10 games in a row from this point on, because frankly they have to pass 6 teams to make it into a playoff spot. The best of those 6 teams only need 41 of a possible 70 points to make it to the 89 point plateau, which looks like the amount necessary to make the playoffs in the East this year. That’s .545 hockey the rest of the way.

    For the Leafs to get to 89 points they have to get 50 of a possible 70 points, which amounts to playing .714 hockey. Even at their absolute best this season, the team wasn’t playing much above .600 for any stretch of time. To expect them to carry .714 over a 35 game stretch is amazingly idiotic.

    They’re a pretty bad, but young team. The goaltending has serious holes, the team D needs some work, and the forwards are inconsistent as hell as a group.

    The fact that injuries to Grabovski, Primeau, and Komisarek seem to have highlighted the complete lack of depth on the club only makes it all the more frustrating.

    I’ll be worried if we’re still watching this sort of crap in 3 years, but right now, I’m not that shocked by it. The team needs to improve, but it’s going to take time.

  10. By Squire CANADA on Jan 13, 2010

    The Kessel deal is not looking so good

  11. By Slideboy on Jan 13, 2010

    Better believe that Burke will not be happy if the Buds finish last and Boston gets the first pick. Kessel is trying to set up offensive duds, instead of being fed by a playmaker. I think Hagman is the smartest hockey player on the team, he should play with Kessel.

  12. By glgbill UNITED STATES on Jan 14, 2010

    Steve, you wrote: “This team is now working towards the future, and offloading pending free agents for draft picks, as well as developing some semblance of constructive improvement is the order of the day.”

    I hope you’re correct, but worry that draft picks will be much harder to acquire than people expect. In the cap environment, the value of pending free agents has gone down, while the value of picks has increased. I hope to be pleasantly surprised at the trade deadline, but am concerned.

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